Fastest declining jobs in Tennessee, 2024–34
Ranked by projected percent change in employment from 2024 to 2034 in Tennessee, most negative first. A declining projection does not mean a job is disappearing — most of these still hire steadily to replace people who leave.
State projections are produced by Tennessee's own workforce agency and collected by Projections Central — the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes projections only at the national level. Methodology varies by state, so these are not directly comparable with the national figures. Wages remain BLS OEWS.
Cost of living: prices in Tennessee run 8.1% below the national average (2024), so a Tennessee salary is worth about 1.09× its face value in national terms. That scales every wage here by the same factor — it changes what the numbers mean, not their order. To see where a job pays a real premium, use jobs that pay more in Tennessee.
Wages: BLS OEWS, May 2025 · Cost of living: BEA regional price parities, 2024
High school diploma or equivalent
$27,020 – $46,700-20.8%High school diploma or equivalent
$29,940 – $57,310-18.2%High school diploma or equivalent
$29,720 – $46,150-17.3%High school diploma or equivalent
$39,500 – $64,020-15.3%High school diploma or equivalent
$45,580 – $98,100-14.6%No formal educational credential
$21,280 – $48,340-14.2%High school diploma or equivalent
$38,220 – $63,260-13.3%High school diploma or equivalent
$30,850 – $71,330-12.9%High school diploma or equivalent
$38,760 – $64,350-12.9%High school diploma or equivalent
$35,430 – $75,540-12.8%No formal educational credential
$19,130 – $46,800-11.6%Some college, no degree
$29,790 – $55,590-11.2%High school diploma or equivalent
$29,570 – $60,790-9.7%High school diploma or equivalent
$39,880 – $64,070-9.4%High school diploma or equivalent
$26,460 – $59,020-8.9%High school diploma or equivalent
$36,270 – $75,160-8.8%High school diploma or equivalent
$36,520 – $79,020-8.4%High school diploma or equivalent
$27,420 – $49,500-7.8%High school diploma or equivalent
$30,280 – $71,850-7.4%High school diploma or equivalent
$26,870 – $46,590-5.7%High school diploma or equivalent
$31,550 – $60,170-5.5%No formal educational credential
$34,670 – $41,450-5.4%High school diploma or equivalent
$29,660 – $63,130-5.3%Postsecondary nondegree award
$33,790 – $60,160-5.2%High school diploma or equivalent
$30,280 – $51,120-5.1%High school diploma or equivalent
$30,470 – $60,540-4.9%No formal educational credential
$26,550 – $47,560-4.9%High school diploma or equivalent
$37,140 – $59,200-4.9%High school diploma or equivalent
$34,880 – $55,240-4.5%High school diploma or equivalent
$35,080 – $59,910-4.4%High school diploma or equivalent
$42,690 – $62,450-4.3%High school diploma or equivalent
$38,000 – $64,620-4.2%Bachelor's degree
$49,080 – $134,980-4.1%No formal educational credential
$20,380 – $38,330-4.1%No formal educational credential
$21,410 – $35,780-4.0%High school diploma or equivalent
$33,380 – $61,050-3.7%Bachelor's degree
$64,520 – $474,740-3.7%High school diploma or equivalent
$35,400 – $54,080-3.5%High school diploma or equivalent
$34,560 – $65,900-3.5%High school diploma or equivalent
$31,320 – $47,750-3.4%No formal educational credential
$23,490 – $42,060-3.2%High school diploma or equivalent
$36,750 – $57,790-3.1%High school diploma or equivalent
$32,760 – $50,160-2.8%High school diploma or equivalent
$31,140 – $77,230-2.4%High school diploma or equivalent
$30,520 – $47,970-2.3%Bachelor's degree
$40,360 – $106,190-2.2%High school diploma or equivalent
$35,620 – $53,300-2.1%High school diploma or equivalent
$36,010 – $74,310-1.9%No formal educational credential
$29,770 – $46,880-1.8%Postsecondary nondegree award
$45,600 – $81,390-1.7%
Bars run from the 10th to the 90th percentile; the middle half is shaded darker, and the tick is the median.
| # | Occupation | MedianTennessee | 10th–90th percentilemiddle half shaded darker | Growth 2024–34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switchboard Operators, Including Answering ServiceHigh school diploma or equivalent | $35,550 | $27,020 – $46,700 | -20.8% |
| 2 | Data Entry KeyersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $40,490 | $29,940 – $57,310 | -18.2% |
| 3 | TellersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $36,750 | $29,720 – $46,150 | -17.3% |
| 4 | New Accounts ClerksHigh school diploma or equivalent | $49,770 | $39,500 – $64,020 | -15.3% |
| 5 | Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative AssistantsHigh school diploma or equivalent | $68,190 | $45,580 – $98,100 | -14.6% |
| 6 | TelemarketersNo formal educational credential | $29,470 | $21,280 – $48,340 | -14.2% |
| 7 | Coil Winders, Tapers, and FinishersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $46,280 | $38,220 – $63,260 | -13.3% |
| 8 | Legal Secretaries and Administrative AssistantsHigh school diploma or equivalent | $45,340 | $30,850 – $71,330 | -12.9% |
| 9 | Structural Metal Fabricators and FittersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $50,460 | $38,760 – $64,350 | -12.9% |
| 10 | Water and Wastewater Treatment Plant and System OperatorsHigh school diploma or equivalent | $50,670 | $35,430 – $75,540 | -12.8% |
| 11 | Sewing Machine OperatorsNo formal educational credential | $34,220 | $19,130 – $46,800 | -11.6% |
| 12 | Order ClerksSome college, no degree | $39,160 | $29,790 – $55,590 | -11.2% |
| 13 | Milling and Planing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticHigh school diploma or equivalent | $43,710 | $29,570 – $60,790 | -9.7% |
| 14 | Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticHigh school diploma or equivalent | $45,070 | $39,880 – $64,070 | -9.4% |
| 15 | File ClerksHigh school diploma or equivalent | $43,010 | $26,460 – $59,020 | -8.9% |
| 16 | Payroll and Timekeeping ClerksHigh school diploma or equivalent | $51,780 | $36,270 – $75,160 | -8.8% |
| 17 | Dental Laboratory TechniciansHigh school diploma or equivalent | $48,880 | $36,520 – $79,020 | -8.4% |
| 18 | Interviewers, Except Eligibility and LoanHigh school diploma or equivalent | $39,340 | $27,420 – $49,500 | -7.8% |
| 19 | Meter Readers, UtilitiesHigh school diploma or equivalent | $45,210 | $30,280 – $71,850 | -7.4% |
| 20 | Floral DesignersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $36,220 | $26,870 – $46,590 | -5.7% |
| 21 | Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and TendersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $46,920 | $31,550 – $60,170 | -5.5% |
| 22 | Graders and Sorters, Agricultural ProductsNo formal educational credential | $36,880 | $34,670 – $41,450 | -5.4% |
| 23 | Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and ExecutiveHigh school diploma or equivalent | $45,810 | $29,660 – $63,130 | -5.3% |
| 24 | Prepress Technicians and WorkersPostsecondary nondegree award | $47,790 | $33,790 – $60,160 | -5.2% |
| 25 | Helpers--Production WorkersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $38,330 | $30,280 – $51,120 | -5.1% |
| 26 | Bill and Account CollectorsHigh school diploma or equivalent | $40,920 | $30,470 – $60,540 | -4.9% |
| 27 | Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural AnimalsNo formal educational credential | $33,720 | $26,550 – $47,560 | -4.9% |
| 28 | Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticHigh school diploma or equivalent | $43,810 | $37,140 – $59,200 | -4.9% |
| 29 | Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticHigh school diploma or equivalent | $44,710 | $34,880 – $55,240 | -4.5% |
| 30 | Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticHigh school diploma or equivalent | $40,730 | $35,080 – $59,910 | -4.4% |
| 31 | Engine and Other Machine AssemblersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $46,810 | $42,690 – $62,450 | -4.3% |
| 32 | Computer Numerically Controlled Tool OperatorsHigh school diploma or equivalent | $49,980 | $38,000 – $64,620 | -4.2% |
| 33 | Credit AnalystsBachelor's degree | $72,550 | $49,080 – $134,980 | -4.1% |
| 34 | Cooks, Fast FoodNo formal educational credential | $28,330 | $20,380 – $38,330 | -4.1% |
| 35 | CashiersNo formal educational credential | $28,590 | $21,410 – $35,780 | -4.0% |
| 36 | Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory ClerksHigh school diploma or equivalent | $44,920 | $33,380 – $61,050 | -3.7% |
| 37 | Chief ExecutivesBachelor's degree | $198,830 | $64,520 – $474,740 | -3.7% |
| 38 | Welding, Soldering, and Brazing Machine Setters, Operators, and TendersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $47,180 | $35,400 – $54,080 | -3.5% |
| 39 | Loan Interviewers and ClerksHigh school diploma or equivalent | $45,230 | $34,560 – $65,900 | -3.5% |
| 40 | Print Binding and Finishing WorkersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $36,960 | $31,320 – $47,750 | -3.4% |
| 41 | Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and GreenhouseNo formal educational credential | $31,020 | $23,490 – $42,060 | -3.2% |
| 42 | Procurement ClerksHigh school diploma or equivalent | $38,710 | $36,750 – $57,790 | -3.1% |
| 43 | Metal Workers and Plastic Workers, All OtherHigh school diploma or equivalent | $36,770 | $32,760 – $50,160 | -2.8% |
| 44 | Jewelers and Precious Stone and Metal WorkersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $48,240 | $31,140 – $77,230 | -2.4% |
| 45 | Furniture FinishersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $32,160 | $30,520 – $47,970 | -2.3% |
| 46 | Buyers and Purchasing AgentsBachelor's degree | $65,430 | $40,360 – $106,190 | -2.2% |
| 47 | Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticHigh school diploma or equivalent | $44,780 | $35,620 – $53,300 | -2.1% |
| 48 | Chemical Equipment Operators and TendersHigh school diploma or equivalent | $60,960 | $36,010 – $74,310 | -1.9% |
| 49 | Slaughterers and Meat PackersNo formal educational credential | $35,790 | $29,770 – $46,880 | -1.8% |
| 50 | Tool and Die MakersPostsecondary nondegree award | $60,760 | $45,600 – $81,390 | -1.7% |
More for Tennessee
- High paying jobs in Tennessee
- High paying jobs in Tennessee that need no degree
- High paying jobs in Tennessee that need no experience
- High paying entry level jobs in Tennessee
- Fastest growing jobs in Tennessee, 2024–34
- Jobs that actually got a raise in Tennessee
- Jobs that lost the most to inflation in Tennessee
- Jobs that pay the biggest premium in Tennessee
Metro areas in Tennessee
Pay varies more between metros than between states — the spread inside one state is often wider than the gap between two.
By field in Tennessee
- High paying management jobs in Tennessee
- High paying business and finance jobs in Tennessee
- High paying tech and IT jobs in Tennessee
- High paying engineering and architecture jobs in Tennessee
- High paying science jobs in Tennessee
- High paying social service jobs in Tennessee
- High paying teaching and library jobs in Tennessee
- High paying creative and media jobs in Tennessee
- High paying medical jobs in Tennessee
- High paying healthcare support jobs in Tennessee
- High paying security and protective service jobs in Tennessee
- High paying food service jobs in Tennessee
- High paying cleaning and grounds jobs in Tennessee
- High paying personal care jobs in Tennessee
- High paying sales jobs in Tennessee
- High paying office and admin jobs in Tennessee
- High paying construction jobs in Tennessee
- High paying repair and maintenance jobs in Tennessee
- High paying production jobs in Tennessee
- High paying transportation jobs in Tennessee
Without a degree
The same fields, narrowed to what you can enter without one. Fields missing here have too few such occupations in Tennessee to rank honestly.
- High paying medical jobs in Tennessee with no degree
- High paying medical jobs in Tennessee with no experience
- High paying healthcare support jobs in Tennessee with no degree
- High paying healthcare support jobs in Tennessee with no experience
- High paying security and protective service jobs in Tennessee with no degree
- High paying security and protective service jobs in Tennessee with no experience
- High paying food service jobs in Tennessee with no degree
- High paying food service jobs in Tennessee with no experience
- High paying cleaning and grounds jobs in Tennessee with no degree
- High paying personal care jobs in Tennessee with no degree
- High paying personal care jobs in Tennessee with no experience
- High paying sales jobs in Tennessee with no degree
- High paying sales jobs in Tennessee with no experience
- High paying office and admin jobs in Tennessee with no degree
- High paying office and admin jobs in Tennessee with no experience
- High paying construction jobs in Tennessee with no degree
- High paying construction jobs in Tennessee with no experience
- High paying repair and maintenance jobs in Tennessee with no degree
- High paying repair and maintenance jobs in Tennessee with no experience
- High paying production jobs in Tennessee with no degree
- High paying production jobs in Tennessee with no experience
- High paying transportation jobs in Tennessee with no degree
- High paying transportation jobs in Tennessee with no experience
Fastest declining jobs in each state, 2024–34
- Alabama
- Alaska
- Arizona
- Arkansas
- California
- Colorado
- Connecticut
- Delaware
- District of Columbia
- Florida
- Georgia
- Guam
- Hawaii
- Idaho
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Iowa
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Maine
- Maryland
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
- Minnesota
- Mississippi
- Missouri
- Montana
- Nebraska
- Nevada
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New Mexico
- New York
- North Carolina
- North Dakota
- Ohio
- Oklahoma
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Puerto Rico
- Rhode Island
- South Carolina
- South Dakota
- Texas
- Utah
- Vermont
- Virgin Islands
- Virginia
- Washington
- West Virginia
- Wisconsin
- Wyoming